Revision of Consolidated Earnings Estimates for Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2009 (Timely Disclosure 12:30) (HTML)

October 31, 2008

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MHFG hereby revises its consolidated earnings estimates for the fiscal year ending Mar 31, 2009, which were announced on Jul 31, 2008, as set forth below. There is no revision to MHFG's non-consolidated earnings estimates.

1. Revision of Consolidated Earnings Estimates for Fiscal Year Ending Mar 31, 2009

(billions of yen, %)

  Second Quarter (Accumulated Period)
(from Apr. 1 to Sep. 30, 2008)
Full Fiscal Year
(from Apr. 1, 2008 to Mar. 31, 2009)
Ordinary Income Ordinary Profits Net Income Ordinary Income Ordinary Profits Net Income
Previous Earnings Estimates
(announced on Jul 31, 2008)
2,100.0 270.0 250.0 4,300.0 690.0 560.0
Revised Earnings Estimates 1,900.0 56.0 94.0 3,800.0 350.0 250.0
  Net Change -200.0 -214.0 -156.0 -500.0 -340.0 -310.0
Rate of Change -9.5% -79.3% -62.4% -11.6% -49.3% -55.4%

2. Reasons for the Revision

(1) Second Quarter (Accumulated Period)

The dislocation in the global financial markets stemming from U.S. subprime loan issues expanded further after the announcement of the previous earnings estimates (on Jul 31, 2008). Among other things, mainly due to devaluation of securities (approximately JPY -140 billion) primarily reflecting large declines in domestic stock markets and due to an increase in credit-related costs, MHFG hereby revises downward its consolidated earnings estimates for the second quarter (accumulated period) as set forth above.

(2) Full Fiscal Year

MHFG also revises downward its consolidated earnings estimates for the full fiscal year ending Mar 31, 2009, based on the revision of its earnings estimates for the second quarter (accumulated period).

This immediate release contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including estimates and forecasts. Such forward-looking statements do not represent any guarantee by management of performance. These statements reflect information currently available to us and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. We may not be successful in implementing our business strategies, and management may fail to achieve its targets, for a wide range of possible reasons, including, without limitation: incurrence of significant credit-related costs; declines in the value of our securities portfolio ,including as a result of the impact of the dislocation in the global financial markets stemming from U.S. subprime loan issues, and changes in related valuation methods; changes in interest rates; foreign currency fluctuations; revised assumptions or other changes related to our pension plans; failure to maintain required capital adequacy ratio levels; downgrades in our credit ratings; the effectiveness of our operational, legal and other risk management policies; our ability to avoid reputational harm; and effects of changes in general economic conditions in Japan. In addition, the estimates included in this immediate release are subject to change in the course of the determination of our financial results for the second quarter (accumulated period) of the fiscal year ending Mar 31, 2009. Further information regarding factors that could affect our financial condition and results of operations is included in "Item 3.D. Key Information-Risk Factors," and "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects" in our most recent annual report on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") which is available in the Financial Information section of our web page at www.mizuho-fg.com/ and also at the SEC's web site at www.sec.gov. We do not intend to update our forward-looking statements. We are under no obligation, and disclaim any obligation, to update or alter our forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by the rules of the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

(Reference)

1. Summary of Non-Consolidated Earnings Results of 3 Banking Subsidiaries (Second Quarter (Accumulated Period) of Fiscal Year Ending Mar 31, 2009 (Preliminary))

(billions of yen)

  Second Quarter (Accumulated Period) of Fiscal Year Ending Mar 31, 2009 (Preliminary)
Aggregate figures for 3 banks Mizuho Bank Mizuho Corporate Bank Mizuho Trust & Banking
Net Business Profits 309.0 140.0 145.0 24.0
Credit-Related Costs -130.0 -116.0 -5.0 -9.0
Net Gains (Losses) Related to Stocks -41.0 -38.0 1.0 -4.0
Ordinary Profits 10.0 -44.0 50.0 4.0
Net Income 169.0 80.0 85.5 3.5
   
MHFG's Consolidated Net Income 94.0  
  • Net business profits are expected to be approximately JPY 309 billion mainly due to a decline in profits from business with customers.
  • Credit-related costs are expected to be approximately JPY -130 billion. This is mainly due to an increase in domestic corporate bankruptcies as well as the collapse of Lehman Brothers.
  • Net gains (losses) related to stocks are expected to be approximately JPY -41 billion due to devaluation of securities caused by declines in stock markets and other factors.
  • Ordinary profits are expected to be approximately JPY 10 billion due, in addition to the aforementioned factors, to the recording of losses related to securitization products and loans held for sale as well as an increase in expenses associated with employee retirement benefits.
  • Net income for 3 banks on an aggregated basis is expected to be approximately JPY 169 billion. This includes the effects of recording extraordinary gains on reversal of reserve for possible losses on investments in a subsidiary at Mizuho Bank and deferred tax benefits.
  • MHFG's consolidated net income is estimated to be JPY 94 billion which reflects the elimination of the aforementioned intercompany gains on reversal of reserve for possible losses on investments and other factors.

2. Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Other Securities (aggregate figures of 3 banks, the base amount to be recorded directly to Net Assets after tax and other necessary adjustments)

(billions of yen)

  As of Mar 31, 2008 As of Jun 30, 2008 As of Sep 30, 2008
(Preliminary)
Other Securities 564.7 740.7 50.0
  Japanese Stocks 895.6 1,262.4 690.0
Japanese Bonds -125.2 -232.0 -230.0
Other -205.6 -289.6 -410.0
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